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4K daily COVID-19 cases 'very possible' for NCR— experts

 By Rjay Zuriaga Castor


People at bus terminal ahead of breaks. (PHOTO: Yahoo News)

MANILA, Philippines — Despite holiday season, a surge on COVID-19 cases "very possible" in Metro Manila if Filipinos won't comply with the health and safety protocols, experts warned Wednesday. 

Dr. Guido David of the OCTA Research Group, in a televised Laging Handa Public Briefing said that a surge in COVID-19 cases is in its early stages in Metro Manila particularly in cities from the northern part of the region like Caloocan, Valenzuela, Malabon, and Quezon City. 

“Kung tuluy-tuloy siyang tumaas pa, it’s very possible na ma-hit natin iyong 4,000 cases per day sa Metro Manila by sometime January or February kung patuloy-tuloy na tumaas kaya gusto nating iwasan iyon,” David said.

According to a report released dated December 21, the OCTA Research Team said that based on available data, the “period of the declining trend in cases observed in the National Capital Region in the past few months has now ended.”

“The trend has been reversed with significant positive growth in new cases observed in the region,” it said.

In the case rate of over two weeks, from -16 percent to -4 percent, growth rates were recorded in Ilocos, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera and the National Capital Region (NCR).

Last August, Metro Manila first hit 4,000 daily additional infections which urged the government to place the capital region under modified lockdown to avoid the collapse of the healthcare system’s capacity.

Moreover, based on the experts' initial projections Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire reminds public the daily surge “may overwhelm the health system capacity to upwards of 80-percent utilization by the end of January if we do not act aggressively to halt the transmission now.” 

As of Wednesday, the country has 464,004 confirmed cases, 429,972 recoveries and 9,048 deaths.


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